中航沈飞股票怎么样配图,仅供参考
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中航沈飞(600760)作为中国航空工业的核心主机厂,其股票表现与军工行业整体趋势、公司基本面及市场情绪密切相关。结合当前市场数据和行业动态,以下从多个角度分析其投资价值:
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# 一、近期股价与市场表现
1. 股价走势
- 截至2025年4月29日收盘,股价为42.59元人民币,当日涨幅0.26%,总市值约1173.38亿人民币。
- 近期股价在42.31-43.00元区间波动,4月25日收盘价为42.84元,动态市盈率34.78,市净率6.91,显示估值处于行业中游水平。
2. 交易活跃度
- 近期日均成交量约1124.61万股(4月25日),换手率0.41%-0.50%,市场关注度较高但流动性相对稳定。
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# 二、财务与业绩分析
1. 一季度业绩承压
- 2025年第一季度营收58.34亿元,同比下降38.55%;归母净利润4.31亿元,同比下降39.87%,主要受合同签订进度、配套供应延迟等因素影响。
2. 长期财务健康度
- 2024年全年净利润33.94亿元,扣非每股收益1.22元,毛利率和净资产收益率保持稳定,但需关注后续订单落地情况。
- 资产负债表稳健,每股净资产6.90元,未分配利润3.27元,具备一定抗风险能力。
---
# 三、行业与公司动态
1. 军工行业前景
- 军工行业受国防预算支撑,但近年军费增速趋缓,企业利润率普遍偏低,需关注订单分配及技术升级(如歼-35电磁弹射进展)对业绩的拉动。
2. 公司战略与风险
- 定向增发完成:2025年4月获证监会批准定向增发A股,或用于产能扩张或研发投入,但需警惕资金到位后的业绩兑现压力。
- 限售股解禁:4月28日344.9万股限售股解禁,可能对短期股价形成压制。
- 供应链压力:主机厂可能将成本压力传导至下游供应商,但公司作为核心企业议价能力较强。
---
# 四、市场情绪与资金动向
1. 融资交易活跃
- 4月25日融资净买入1267.22万元,融资余额14.02亿元,显示部分资金看好短期反弹机会。
2. 投资者分歧
- 雪球等平台讨论显示,部分投资者认为军工股需警惕业绩波动风险,而长期看好军工装备升级带来的增长潜力。
---
# 五、投资建议与风险提示
1. 长期逻辑
- 作为歼击机核心制造商,受益于国防现代化及军民融合政策,技术壁垒高,具备战略价值。
- 若后续订单放量或研发突破(如六代机),可能推动估值修复。
2. 短期风险
- 业绩增速放缓、限售股解禁、行业竞争加剧及军费分配不确定性。
- 市盈率(TTM 34.78倍)高于部分同行,需关注估值合理性。
结论:中航沈飞长期具备军工龙头配置价值,但短期需谨慎应对业绩波动及市场情绪变化。建议关注一季度财报后的订单释放情况、增发资金用途及行业政策动向,逢低布局并动态跟踪风险。